Sunday, April 29, 2012

Foreign Policy finally entered the realm of the 2012 Presidential Campaign


In a speech at New York University last Thursday, Vice President Joe Biden attacked Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney on his foreign policy, opening a new chapter in the 2012 presidential campaign.  

Biden praised President Barack Obama for ending the War in Iraq, shaping an exit strategy in Afghanistan, leading the fight against Qaddafi in Libya, and, of course, killing Osama Bin Laden, emphasizing the President's toughness on national security. The Vice President contrasted Obama's foreign policy successes with Romney's "profound misunderstanding of the responsibilities of a President and the Commander-in-Chief," mocking his misjudgments, such as describing Russia as America's “number one geopolitical foe”.

Already before the speech the Romney campaign responded to Biden's attack, accusing the President of turning his back on Israel, of being too soft on Iran and Syria and for giving in to Russia's missile defense demands.

President Obama has been criticized from various sides for trying to negotiate with Iran, for not intervening in Syria, and for embarrassing the US in the light of North Korea's most recent missile launch. 

In a Foreign Policy article, Dan Blumenthal went as far as describing Barack
Obama's foreign policy as "the uncertainty doctrine", which "made the world a more dangerous place", adding, "With no one else to do the chores, the United States must lead with certainty. The rest of the world may complain about our arrogance, but that is better than complaining about utter chaos." 

In the French newspaper Le Monde, Betrand Badie, a leading international relations scholar, relativized the criticism of Obama's foreign policy. He explained that Barack Obama never questioned the United States' leadership in the world, but had to restore the nation's legacy after the Bush years. Hence, Obama' s policy was less aggressive, disfavored military action, and became more open to the world's cultural and political diversity. Badie described Obama's foreign policy as a "passive hegemony". However, Badie further explains that the notion of hegemony in itself is outdated, with interdependency structuring the new game of international politics. The game does not revolve around one leader in a bipolar world anymore; the new game is more complex and includes an infinite number of interdependent players. 

Hence, the difficult task in this presidential election is to present oneself as a world leader domestically, while at the same time abiding to the new rules of the game of international politics.

Foreign Policy generally does not hugely influence the outcome of the presidential elections, but national security probably will. While national security is traditionally a Republican strength, Obama seems to be in a safer seat. Mitt Romney will now have to define his foreign policy, to offer better solution than Obama and most importantly to distinguish his propositions from Bush's doctrine. We will see how Mitt Romney masters this challenge, but he would not be the first governor from Massachusetts whose presidential campaign tanked because of foreign and national security issues.
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